Methodology
Where the data comes from, how projections are calculated, and the known limitations of both.
Updated 2026-09-09
Data sources
Team records, schedules, live scores and posted betting numbers come from ESPN's public endpoints. Pages are regenerated daily and every page shows the date it was built.
We do not scrape sportsbooks directly and we do not republish any paid data feed.
How projections are built
Projection tables are season-rate baselines: published season totals scored with DraftKings values and divided by games played. The exact scoring weights used are printed underneath each table.
This method is deliberately simple and fully reproducible. It carries no adjustment for opponent, venue, injury, weather or expected game script, and it weights every game in the season equally regardless of when it was played.
Known limitations
A season-rate figure is a centre of mass, not a forecast. Real single-game outcomes are distributed widely around it, and in baseball especially that distribution is very wide.
Single-game bonuses that depend on per-game thresholds cannot be recovered from season totals, so football figures run slightly below a true platform average.
Where a page ranks or flags games, it applies a stated arithmetic rule to public numbers. That is not a model, and it does not incorporate news published after the build.